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Australia can run out of ICU beds, hospitals can be overwhelmed within seven DAYS, experts say

Australia could run out of ICU beds in a week, as hospitals are overwhelmed by the rising number of coronavirus infections, university researchers say.

The number of cases rose nationally on Thursday evening to 2810, peaking at nearly 400 in 24 hours, when a Western Australian man in his seventies turned into the country’s 13th COVID-19 death.

Modeling by researchers at Macquarie University has shown that Australia can reach ICU capacity as early as April 5 when the national number is predicted to reach 22,000.

Australia has only 2,229 beds in the intensive care unit, according to a 2018 report from the Australian and New Zealand Intensive Care Society.

The new study, published by the Medical Journal of Australia, compared real data from the infection in Italy to predict how many Australians will need an intensive care unit in the coming weeks.

Staff at South Australia Hospital depicted a simulation of a drive-thru testing facility. Experts have warned that Australia could run out of ICU beds within a week as the number of infections continues to rise at national level

Staff at South Australia Hospital depicted a simulation of a drive-thru testing facility. Experts have warned that Australia could run out of ICU beds within a week as the number of infections continues to rise at national level

“The ICU’s capacity will be exceeded sometime around April 5 with about 22,000 cases of COVID-19 if public health measures fail to curb the growth rate,” the study concludes.

Australia currently has about 2,200 ICU beds, the MJA study says.

“The coming months will take courage, brains and a concerted effort to control the infection,” said Professor Nick Talley.

“While the reported results may be a worst-case scenario and may not happen, we need to prepare better now,” he wrote.

About 5 percent of people with coronavirus become so seriously ill that they need treatment in the intensive care unit to survive.

Dr. Norman Swan had warned on Q&A on Monday evening that New South Wales could get out of bed by April 10.

Hospital staff are waiting to screen people outside Royal Melbourne Hospital on March 11. The number of available ICU beds on April 5 may be insufficient

Hospital staff are waiting to screen people outside Royal Melbourne Hospital on March 11. The number of available ICU beds on April 5 may be insufficient

Hospital staff are waiting to screen people outside Royal Melbourne Hospital on March 11. The number of available ICU beds on April 5 may be insufficient

Infectious disease doctors and experts are increasingly calling for Australia to be completely blocked for up to six weeks to slow down the spread of the coronavirus.

Despite the total number of COVID-19 cases in the country that rose to 2,810 on Thursday evening, with 13 deaths, the federal government has so far maintained its refusal to close schools, lock people up, and shut down all non-essential businesses .

Infectious disease expert Professor Brendan Crabb said that only keeping ‘essential services’ open was a major but necessary step.

Pedestrians walk through masks through Sydney on Thursday. Infectious disease doctors and experts call on Prime Minister to introduce full closure, including closure of schools

Pedestrians walk through masks through Sydney on Thursday. Infectious disease doctors and experts call on Prime Minister to introduce full closure, including closure of schools

Pedestrians walk through masks through Sydney on Thursday. Infectious disease doctors and experts call on Prime Minister to introduce full closure, including closure of schools

Prime Minister Scott Morrison said the government had not received medical advice to shut down schools, despite an expert panel member accompanying the government in the campaign for a full and immediate shutdown.

Mr Morrison addressed the restrictions step-by-step, including closing the borders on everything but essential travel, but Professor Crabb of the Burnet Institute in Melbourne said the measures were too easily misunderstood and called for a general closure of two to six weeks.

“This is war, this is a real war that is being fought. A lockdown type mindset sends an unambiguous message that cannot be misunderstood, ‘said Professor Crabb The age.

“Every day matters now … I would like to see a very strong line of reasoning why they (the government) should not go as fast as they can.”

Complete closure would prevent Australians from leaving their home, other than for essential reasons such as shopping.

Infectious disease expert Professor Brendan Crabb has called for retaining only 'essential services' to reduce the infection rate

Infectious disease expert Professor Brendan Crabb has called for retaining only 'essential services' to reduce the infection rate

Infectious disease expert Professor Brendan Crabb has called for retaining only ‘essential services’ to reduce the infection rate

A nurse takes a sample from a driver on Tuesday at a new COVID-19 drive-thru test facility in Adelaide

A nurse takes a sample from a driver on Tuesday at a new COVID-19 drive-thru test facility in Adelaide

A nurse takes a sample from a driver on Tuesday at a new COVID-19 drive-thru test facility in Adelaide

Professor Mary-Louise McLaws of the University of NSW said supermarkets, banks and pharmacies should remain open.

“Lockdown should be very serious for about three weeks,” she said news.com.au.

“During this time, things recovered and people stopped being contagious.”

A response tracker set up by the University of Oxford gives Australia a ranking of only 40 out of 100 for the severity of the lockdown.

The University of Oxford reaction tracker gives Australia a ranking of only 40 out of 100 for the lockdown level

The University of Oxford reaction tracker gives Australia a ranking of only 40 out of 100 for the lockdown level

The University of Oxford reaction tracker gives Australia a ranking of only 40 out of 100 for the lockdown level

The US and much of Europe and South America have an index between 60 and 100.

UNSW’s Raina MacIntrye, who is part of the expert panel advising the government on its COVID-19 response, said schools should be closed as part of the new shutdown.

Prof MacIntrye said the majority of the panel agrees that a short-term lock is needed immediately, but that advice is being ignored.

“I was hoping that we would see a more extensive lockdown for a short period of time, but that is not the approach we are taking. It’s more of a drop-like approach, bit by bit, that won’t be as effective at stopping the transfer in the community, ‘she told the ABC.

Leading infectious disease expert Raina MacIntrye (pictured) believes the federal government's drop approach will not be enough to stop the transmission of COVID-19 across the country

Leading infectious disease expert Raina MacIntrye (pictured) believes the federal government's drop approach will not be enough to stop the transmission of COVID-19 across the country

Leading infectious disease expert Raina MacIntrye (pictured) believes the federal government’s drop approach will not be enough to stop the transmission of COVID-19 across the country

“The more you hit the brakes, the more control you have over the epidemic, the more cases there will be. The other alternative is to wait until things really get out of hand and your health system becomes infected. ‘

CORONAVIRUS CASES IN AUSTRALIA: 2.810

New South Wales: 1,219

Victoria: 520

Queensland: 493

Western Australia: 231

South Australia: 235

Australian Capital Territory: 53

Tasmania: 47

Northern Territory: 12

TOTAL CASES: 2,810

DEAD: 13

Professor MacIntrye said the long-term economic blow to the country would be much greater if no hard action were taken now.

“If you don’t control the disease, your economic losses will be much greater and the recovery time will be much longer,” she said.

The opinion was compiled by a panel of academics from the Australian group of eight universities and was presented to Federal Health Minister Greg Hunt on Monday.

The government was urged to introduce “strong immediate and coordinated social distance measures”, including school closures and stepping up testing measures.

However, the current scope and scale of government physical distance measures concerns the university panel.

The panel members are convinced that this will lead to a spike in business and an increased death toll.

Professor MacIntyre believes it is not too late to stabilize the expected death toll, but it can only be done when 70-80 percent of people stop contacting each other.

The panel is one of many created to guide the federal government through the current health crisis.

States seem to be sensationally defying Scott Morrison and lock when coronavirus cases explode within 48 hours

Victoria and New South Wales could both go into a lockdown this weekend to slow down the spread of the coronavirus.

The two states have the highest infection rates in the country, with the number of NSW cases reaching 1,219 on Thursday evening, nearly half of the national total of 2,810.

NSW Prime Minister Gladys Berejiklian said the state may need to go beyond the restrictions Prime Minister Scott Morrison announced this week if infections in the state don’t stop.

NSW Prime Minister Gladys Berejiklian will provide an update on the corona virus on Thursday. She said the state may need to go beyond the restrictions Prime Minister Scott Morrison announced this week if infections don't ease in the state

NSW Prime Minister Gladys Berejiklian will provide an update on the corona virus on Thursday. She said the state may need to go beyond the restrictions Prime Minister Scott Morrison announced this week if infections don't ease in the state

NSW Prime Minister Gladys Berejiklian will provide an update on the corona virus on Thursday. She said the state may need to go beyond the restrictions Prime Minister Scott Morrison announced this week if infections don’t ease in the state

Victoria’s Health Minister Jenny Mikakos has also indicated that further measures can be taken at state level to prevent the spread of the virus.

Non-essential workers could be forced to stay at home – assuming only basic services – as part of local closures in areas most severely affected by the virus.

Schools may need to close, despite Mr. Morrison’s insistence in the past week that they remain open and that stores that are not considered essential should also be closed.

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