Tropical disturbance by the Caribbean is approaching Florida and can become a tropical storm by the end of the week
- A tropical disturbance winds its way through the Caribbean and is on track to reach Florida this week
- The tropical disturbance may be the fourth tropical depression of 2019 in the Atlantic
- The the power of the disruption weakened Monday, but if the current weather continues, a tropical storm with 39 mph winds can occur
- Land in Hispaniola and Puerto Rico can slow it down, but can lead to flooding and mudslides
- The amount of precipitation on the Florida peninsula will determine its path
A tropical disturbance that stretches across the Caribbean is approaching the Florida peninsula and can turn into a tropical storm in the second half of the week.
The tropical disturbance showed signs of weakening on Monday afternoon, but if it continues to build, this could be the fourth tropical depression of 2019 in the Atlantic.
Accuweather predicts that it can reach maximum wind levels of 39 mph if the trend continues.
Meteorologist Brett Rathburn said that water in the Caribbean & # 39; sufficiently warm & # 39; and can play a role in tropical development.
A tropical disturbance that affects the Caribbean islands can reach the Florida Peninsula in the second half of the week
Accuweather predicts that the tropical disturbance may reach 39 mph if it continues to strengthen
Before the tropical disturbance reaches the Florida peninsula, it must first pass through the collection of islands.
& # 39; There is some wind shear on the disruption path and the predicted path enters the center just south of Puerto Rico and near Hispaniola during the midweek, & # 39; said Rathbun.
The mountainous regions act as a buffer for tropical disturbance, with mountains in the Dominican Republic reaching as high as 10,200 feet.
The terrain, together with wind shear, may prevent the tropical disturbance from organizing into a larger feature.
The rugged topography is known to squeeze large amounts of moisture & # 39 ;, resulting in harsh showers and stormy thunderstorms across the islands.
This heavy rainfall can be useful, but too much water that falls too fast can lead to hazards such as flooding and mud flows.
The terrain in Hispaniola and Puerto Rico can form a blockade for the approaching tropical disturbance
Although still uncertain, the tropical disturbance has the potential to bend east of the Southeastern United States or travel west towards the Gulf of Mexico
Beaches can also be influenced by raising sea levels and winds.
If the tropical disturbance survives the obstacle of the midweek, it will have the opportunity to develop into a stronger storm.
& # 39; Assuming the system has held together or organized, wind shear is expected to increase near the end of this week and until this weekend near and northeast of Florida, & # 39; said Rathbun.
Depending on the strength of the wind shear, the disruption can continue in the direction of Florida or be left drifting in the Atlantic Ocean.
Scenarios about what could happen this weekend vary, with some predicting the disturbance that will bend east towards the Atlantic and others predict that it may go west toward the Gulf of Mexico.
What is known is that the disruption will approach the Southeastern states along the Mid-Atlantic coast and soak them in thunderstorms.
As August continues, the waters in the area will begin to decline and most of the tropical waves will come from the west coast of Africa.
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