A top Democratic strategist has warned his party that Donald Trump’s poll numbers could be misleading and that they should not take them for granted.
James Carville, who rose to fame for helping Bill Clinton toward White House In 1992, he said Trump was traditionally underperforming in the polls, which should worry his party.
Speaking on Bill Maher’s Real Time show, Carville said: “I tell Democrats to be careful. First of all, most quantitative analysts say we have to win by three points in the popular vote.
‘So when you see a poll that says we’re up two, well, you’re actually down one if the poll is correct.
“Traditionally, when Trump is in the polls, polls show him chronically underperforming. In 2020, polls showed Biden winning Wisconsin, Michigan and Pennsylvania by seven or eight points.”
James Carville, who rose to fame for helping Bill Clinton win the White House in 1992, said Trump is traditionally underperforming in the polls, which should worry his party.
Trump leaves the stage after speaking during a campaign rally at Desert Diamond Arena on August 23, 2024 in Glendale, Arizona.
Asked by Maher if he thinks Trump will do better than the polls show, he added: “I’m saying he traditionally does better than the polls show. I’m just saying we need to win by three points and I think we can do that.”
“I think the debate on September 10th is going to be very important. It’s going to have an audience that we can’t believe, because the thing that America likes most is a disaster.”
According to a recent study CNN PollHarris now leads the race with 50 percent, while Trump trails by 2 percent, at 48 percent.
Findings by The New York Times Data released last week suggests the two presidential candidates are now in tight races in Arizona, Georgia, Nevada and North Carolina.
Just weeks ago, Trump looked set to win these states, but new polls show Harris gradually erasing his lead.
In Georgia, he still has the lead with 50 percent to her 46 percent, and in Nevada, it’s 48 percent for him and 47 percent for Harris.
Harris has won 49 percent of the vote to Trump’s 47 percent in North Carolina, one of the key swing states he won in 2020.
Polls continue to show some risks for Harris, including that 49 percent of voters consider her too liberal, while 33 percent consider Trump too conservative.
New findings from The New York Times suggest the two presidential candidates are now in tight races in Arizona, Georgia, Nevada and North Carolina.
Carville made headlines earlier this year, while President Biden was still in the race, after proclaiming that his polls were the equivalent of “finding your grandmother naked.”
He told the New York Times: “I“It’s like finding your grandmother naked. You can’t get that image out of your head.”
Despite his scathing opinion, Carville added: “I actually like Biden. He’s a tenacious guy who’s had a real life.
“He’s a public school kid. He doesn’t have an ounce of elitism. He doesn’t even know what ‘woke’ is.”
‘He has demonstrably been the best president black America has ever had, Clinton and Obama included.
“If you look at income, employment, poverty rates, access to health care, it’s not quite at the same level as whites, but it’s closer than ever.”
Carville made headlines earlier this year, while President Biden was still in the race, after proclaiming that his polls were the equivalent of “finding your grandmother naked.”
Despite his general approval of the incumbent president, Carville said he suspected there were too many “female preachers” in the party.
Prior to that, Carville also made headlines after referring to Marjorie Taylor Greene and other Republicans who criticized Biden’s State of the Union address as “white trash.”
“I tell people I have the equivalent of a PhD in white trash, and they saw real white trash on display,” Carville said. MSNBC.
‘And let me tell you something about… Marjorie Taylor Greene. She dresses like white trash. She really needs a fashion consultant. May I recommend George Santos?’