Home Money How you can keep making money from the world’s biggest startup: Nvidia shares have soared 3,477% in a year, but experts say it’s not too late to invest. Read our guide

How you can keep making money from the world’s biggest startup: Nvidia shares have soared 3,477% in a year, but experts say it’s not too late to invest. Read our guide

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Jensen Huang, 61, a Taiwanese-born electrical engineering graduate who founded Nvidia along with microchip designers Chris Malachowsky and Curtis Priem.

It is the stock market success story of the century and one that will mark the rest of our lives.

Since going public on the eve of the Millennium, computer chip designer Nvidia has emerged from nowhere to become the world’s largest company.

The notable milestone was passed yesterday as its share price soared to a new high, overtaking tech giant Microsoft to value the Silicon Valley pioneer at $3.34bn (£2.6bn).

To put this in context, Nvidia’s stock market valuation now exceeds the annual output of the entire British economy.

It has been a truly stratospheric rise.

In February, Nvidia became the fastest company to go from $1 trillion to $2 trillion. Surprisingly, it only took eight months.

Jensen Huang, 61, a Taiwanese-born electrical engineering graduate who founded Nvidia along with microchip designers Chris Malachowsky and Curtis Priem.

Nvidia originally made computer chips for video game software, but has since expanded its horizons to dominate the artificial intelligence sector.

Nvidia originally made computer chips for video game software, but has since expanded its horizons to dominate the artificial intelligence sector.

The latest rise means that the company, whose chips have fueled the meteoric rise of artificial intelligence (AI), has seen its share price rise from less than $4 in June 2019 to almost $136 today. That’s an incredible 3,477 percent increase in five years.

Can British investors continue to profit from Nvidia shares, or have they missed the boat if they don’t already own them?

Experts say further positive gains are possible, although the stock is not for the faint-hearted.

“We have thought for some time that Nvidia would become the most valuable company in the world,” says Stephen Yiu, who manages the £1.1bn Blue Whale Growth Fund.

“By surpassing Microsoft, you have now achieved a notable milestone.”

Yiu has put his money where his mouth is and has made “more than £100 million” backing the AI ​​pioneer in just three years.

But the company’s latest leap has taken even him by surprise.

He recently thought it would take Nvidia another two years to become the largest company in the world… it took just over two weeks.

So can Nvidia’s incredible streak continue? Yiu, for his part, is happy to keep it as the largest single holding in his fund.

He argues that investors are still too focused on the microchip side of the business while overlooking the importance of Nvidia’s associated software, where he believes sales growth will likely be fastest over the next decade.

Experts have been busy upgrading their price targets following Nvidia stock’s latest surge.

Rosenblatt Securities analyst Hans Mosesmann believes the stock could hit $200, which would put Nvidia’s value within striking distance of $5 trillion.

He argues that investors are still too focused on the microchip side of the business while overlooking the importance of Nvidia’s associated software, where he believes sales growth will likely be fastest over the next decade.

Ark Invest’s Cathie Wood, an early Nvidia backer, estimates that the AI ​​software market could be worth $13 trillion by 2030.

Wood sold Nvidia last year, a decision estimated to have cost his flagship technology fund up to $800 million in potential profits.

Ark Invest’s Cathie Wood, an early Nvidia backer, estimates that the AI ​​software market could be worth $13 trillion by 2030.

Wood sold Nvidia last year, a decision estimated to have cost his flagship technology fund up to $800 million in potential profits.

“Counting the next four largest companies in the world (Apple, Alphabet, Amazon and Microsoft) as customers is certainly a sign that a company offers a world-leading product that cannot be ignored,” he adds.

While Nvidia stock doesn’t look ridiculously overvalued right now, “it can’t keep going up in a straight line forever,” says Derren Nathan, head of equity research at investment platform Hargreaves Lansdown.

One risk is that governments, concerned about the risks to society and even humanity itself, will try to clamp down on AI.

Instead of trying to pick individual winners by putting all your chips into a single bet, experts suggest spreading your risk by putting money into a fund with Nvidia or AI stocks in general.

“Fortunately, there are many AI-themed investment funds on offer,” says Dan Coatsworth, investment analyst at investment platform AJ Bell.

In addition to the Blue Whale Growth Fund, there is Polar Capital’s £580m AI fund, which has Nvidia as its largest single holding, making up 6.3 per cent of the portfolio.

“The fund offers broad exposure, prioritizing companies that are key enablers or beneficiaries of AI,” says Coatsworth. These include Microsoft, Amazon, Micron Technology and Advanced Micro Devices.

Nvidia is also the largest component of the Scottish Mortgage Investment Trust, with 8 percent. Experts say other technology funds to consider include Axa Framlington Global Technology, Fidelity Global Technology, Janus Henderson Global Technology Leaders and Allianz Technology Trust.

Investing in technology funds is easy through a stocks and shares Isa, self-invested personal pension (Sipp) or general investment account.

British investors can buy US shares through an online broker, but may pay a higher trading or administration fee. Shareholders of US companies based in the UK must also complete a W-8 BEN form, which allows them to pay a reduced tax rate on the investment.

So how did a startup with no business plan, founded in a California restaurant, conquer everything before it? And will British private investors be able to get a piece of the action?

Nvidia is the brainchild of Jensen Huang – a Taiwanese-born electrical engineering graduate whose parents sent him to the United States as a child – and two microchip designers, Chris Malachowsky and Curtis Priem.

They founded Nvidia in 1993 in a Denny’s restaurant in San Jose, in the heart of Silicon Valley.

The plan was to call their company NVision, until they discovered that that name had been adopted by a toilet paper manufacturer. Huang, who once worked as a waiter and dishwasher at a Denny’s for $2.65 an hour, suggested Nvidia, based on the Latin word “invidia,” which means “envy.”

He has run the company ever since, becoming one of the richest people in the world in the process.

Nvidia’s main product is a graphics processing unit (GPU), a wafer-thin circuit board with a powerful microchip at its core. These processors allow lightweight, energy-efficient personal computers and laptops to perform a large number of calculations at high speed.

For decades the big microchip manufacturer was Intel, but Nvidia differs from its rival in some key aspects.

Intel and others make industry-standard general-purpose chips known as “central processing units” (CPUs), which handle all of a computer’s main functions, producing one mathematical calculation at a time.

But Nvidia’s GPU can complete complex, repetitive tasks much faster, breaking them down into smaller components before processing them in parallel.

If CPUs are delivery vehicles that deliver one package at a time, Nvidia’s GPUs are more like a fleet of high-speed motorcycles spread across a city. That made them the perfect processors to power the nascent AI revolution.

Unlike Intel, Nvidia does not manufacture its own chips, but primarily outsources them to Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company. Most importantly, however, Nvidia not only designs the hardware, but also the software it runs on.

“What Nvidia does for a living is not building the chip: we build the entire supercomputer, from the chip to the system, the interconnects, the NVLink, the networks, but very importantly, the software,” says Huang, 61 .

This secret software package is called Cuda. Nvidia chips were originally intended to improve computer graphics used by video games. The creation of Cuda in 2006 allowed other multi-purpose applications to also run on Nvidia chips.

At first, AI was not one of them. In the early 2010s, AI was still a technological backwater where progress in areas such as speech and image recognition was slow.

Even less fashionable were “neural networks,” computing structures that mimic the functioning of the human brain.

Nvidia’s breakthrough came when the Cuda platform was championed by British-Canadian computer scientist and cognitive psychologist Geoffrey Hinton, dubbed the “godfather of AI.”

Two of his students trained a neural network to identify cat videos using just two Nvidia boards. Google experts needed 16,000 CPUs to accomplish the feat. Machine learning had arrived.

The surprising results led Huang to bet on AI in 2013.

Nvidia GPUs were soon found in everything from smart cars to robotics to data centers, with customers ranging from Tesla to Microsoft and Amazon. One setback was a failed £31bn bid to buy Cambridge-based chip designer Arm Holdings.

But Nvidia really came of age a year ago with the news that ChatGPT (Open AI’s chatbot) was working with its supercomputers. This propelled the stock into orbit.

The news sparked a frenzy among big tech companies and AI startups for Nvidia processors, leading to a shortage that could last into next year.

On May 23, extraordinary results that exceeded market expectations caused the company’s value to increase by $200 billion in just one day.

To meet the insatiable demand, Nvidia plans to launch a new generation of artificial intelligence chips (codenamed Blackwell) later this year, costing more than $30,000 each.

It can charge so much because of its stranglehold on the AI ​​chip market, with a market share of more than 80 percent.

This quasi-monopoly has turned Nvidia into a huge money-making machine, driving potentially huge future increases in stock price.

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