More than 30 NHS trusts have registered more deaths than expected last year, professor of hospital mortality claims.
Last week's official data mentioned the 11 health-run organizations across England who registered surplus deaths in 2018.
But Professor Sir Brian Jarman, who helped uncover the Mid-Staffordshire hospital scandal, has claimed that the actual number is much higher.
He recalculated the NHS Digital data for MailOnline and discovered that a further 22 health service trusts fall into the category of surplus deaths.
His analysis suggests that 8,210 patients died than expected on the trusts – more than double the NHS projection of 3,600.
Last week's official data mentioned the 11 health-led organizations across England who recorded surplus deaths in 2017. But Professor Sir Brian Jarman, who helped uncover the Mid-Staffordshire hospital scandal, has claimed that the actual number is much higher. He recalculated the NHS Digital data for MailOnline and discovered that a further 22 health service trusts fall into the category of surplus deaths
NHS Digital, which released the original report, collected data from all 130 hospital trusts between January and December last year.
The NHS states that the statistics are only a & # 39; smoke detector & # 39; to be. However, five of the trusts identified on the basis of their own analysis were named and embarrassed last year.
One of them – Blackpool Teaching Hospitals NHS Foundation Trust – has been on the worst results list every year since 2011.
But Professor Jarman's calculations – which have not been independently verified – showed that 19 trusts also had excess deaths last year.
Professor Jarman, head of the Dr. Foster Unit at Imperial College, told MailOnline that a & # 39; Department of Health & # 39; once said that a high HSMR is a trigger to ask hard questions & # 39 ;.
He added that the spokesperson said good hospitals are actively following their HSMRs and trying to understand where performance is failing.
NHS Digital publishes its Summary Hospital-level Mortality Indicator, or SHMI, data every summer for the previous calendar year.
Expected mortality for each trust is calculated by calculating how many deaths the trust would have, according to national average mortality rates.
The death rate is then calculated by dividing the actual deaths admitted to the hospital plus 30 days after discharge by the expected deaths for the same period.
Across the country there were 293,000 registered deaths, either in the hospital or within 30 days of discharge.
This includes deaths from other causes and deaths related to the reason for hospitalization, NHS Digital says.
Blackpool Victoria Hospital, run by the Blackpool Teaching Hospitals NHS FT, has been marked since 2014 for having additional deaths
WHERE WERE THE 33 NHS CONFIDENT THAT PROFESSOR SIR BRIAN JARMAN WAS FOUND WARM?
Blackpool Education Hospitals NHS FT
Bolton NHS FT
Dorset County Hospital NHS FT
East Suffolk and North Essex NHS FT *
George Eliot Hospital NHS Trust
Tameside and Glossop Integrated Care NHS FT
The Dudley Group NHS FT
The Princess Alexandra Hospital NHS Trust
The Royal Wolverhampton NHS Trust
United Lincolnshire Hospitals NHS Trust
Worcestershire Acute hospitals NHS Trust
County Durham and Darlington NHS FT
East Cheshire NHS Trust
East Kent Hospitals University NHS FT
Hull And East Yorkshire Hospitals NHS Trust
James Paget University Hospitals NHS FT
Leeds Teaching Hospitals NHS Trust
Medway NHS FT
Mid Essex Hospital Services NHS Trust
Norfolk and Norwich University Hospitals NHS FT
North Lincolnshire and Goole Hospitals NHS FT
Nottingham University Hospitals NHS Trust
Peterborough and Stamford Hospitals NHS FT
Plymouth Hospitals NHS Trust
Sandwell and West Birmingham Hospitals NHS Trust
South Tees Hospitals NHS FT
South Tyneside and Sunderland NHS FT **
Southend University Hospital NHS FT
Southport and Ormskirk Hospital NHS Trust
Coventry and Warwickshire NHS Trust University Hospitals
Walsall Healthcare NHS Trust
Warrington and Halton Hospitals NHS FT
Wrightington, Wigan and Leigh NHS FT
FT = Trust Foundation
Trusts in fat also fall under the category of surplus deaths by NHS Digital
* = USED TO BE KNOWN AS A COLCHESTER HOSPITAL UNIVERSITY NHS FOUNDATION TRUST FOR A FUSION
** = SOUTH TYNESIDE NHS FT COLLECTED WITH CITY SEE OBLIGATIONS SUNDERLAND NHS FT IN APRIL
The NHS states that the & # 39; inappropriate & # 39; is that trusts are ranked on their SHMI, and that too many deaths justify the need for further investigation.
Some 103 trusts did not report excessive deaths and 16 of them even reported a lower number of fatalities than expected.
The data show slightly less than a twelfth, or 8.5 percent of NHS trusts reported higher-than-expected deaths.
But the recalculation of the data by Professor Brian Jarman, former president of the British Medical Association, shows that a quarter of NHS trusts, or 25 percent, have significantly higher mortality rates.
WHAT WAS THE MIDDLE STANDING?
A disputed estimate suggested that hundreds of people died unnecessarily at the Stafford Hospital, operated by Mid-Staffordshire NHS Trust, due to poor care between 2005 and 2009.
In what is one of the worst scandals in living memory, anecdotes from Julie Bailey, who was responsible for unmasking neglect at the hospital, suggested that patients seemed to lie in their own excrement and were so thirsty that they were reduced to drinking water of vases.
The Francis report, the study into the operation of the hospital in 2013, discovered that profession-minded bureaucrats considered their goals more important than the basic levels of care.
But no individual will be prosecuted for the scandal, police admitted last year – despite a three-year investigation.
Stafford Hospital has been renamed County Hospital and is now run by another trust.
He used the internationally recognized system, recommended by the Association of Public Health Observatories, called Byar's confidence intervals.
A similar process helped uncover poor care in the Mid Staffordshire trust, one of the biggest scandals that ever affected the NHS.
However, the NHS uses a different method, the so-called overdispersion, which gives trusts somewhat more leeway in terms of the number of registered deaths.
According to that system, a trust is only considered to have a higher than expected number of deaths if the SHMI is about 12 percent or more above the national average.
Byar's method, on the other hand, is used internationally and classifies a much larger number of trusts as considerably above the national average.
The NHS had used the confidence intervals of the internationally recognized Byar in the past.
Blackpool Teaching Hospital NHS FT told MailOnline that it had implemented a number of initiatives that covered all areas of the hospital to address mortality rates.
It added that internal work & # 39; in progress & # 39; and that it focuses on improving treatment within the first 24 hours after admission.
And it added that Blackpool is one of the most disadvantaged areas in England with the lowest male life expectancy in the country.
The city also has more than average deaths related to alcohol, smoking, drug use and heart disease, and an example of HIV and depression is high.
An NHS spokesperson told MailOnline last week that the SHMI figures & # 39; are not a measure of the quality of care & # 39 ;.
Chris Roebuck, chief statistician at NHS Digital, said: “Professor Jarman has done his own analysis of the data and used his own methodology to achieve his findings, which are different from the official measure.
& # 39; The official measure has been developed with input from specialists from NHS organizations, regulators, universities, royal colleges and field specialists, including Professor Jarman.
& # 39; It is designed to act as a high-level measure and is a useful indicator that can identify potential problems that require further investigation. It must be used with care and must always be used in combination with other information. The UK Statistics Authority has confirmed its use in this way. & # 39;
|AINTREE UNIVERSITY HOSPITAL NHS FOUNDATION TRUST||X||X||X|
|BASILDON AND THURROCK UNIVERSITY HOSPITALS NHS FOUNDATION TRUST||X|
|BLACKPOOL LESSONS HOSPITALS NHS FOUNDATION TRUST||X||X||X||X||X||X||X||X|
|BOLTON NHS FOUNDATION TRUST||X|
|BUCKINGHAMSHIRE HEALTH CARE NHS TRUST||X|
|CALDERDALE AND HUDDERSFIELD NHS FOUNDATION TRUST||X|
|COLCHESTER HOSPITAL UNIVERSITY NHS FOUNDATION TRUST||X||X||X|
|DONCASTER AND BASSETLAW HOSPITALS NHS FOUNDATION TRUST||X|
|DORSET COUNTY HOSPITAL NHS FOUNDATION TRUST||X||X||X||X|
|EAST AND NORTH HERTFORDSHIRE NHS TRUST||X||X||X|
|EAST LANCASHIRE HOSPITALS NHS TRUST||X||X|
|EAST SUFFOLK AND NORTH ESSEX NHS FOUNDATION TRUST||X|
|EAST SUSSEX HEALTH CARE NHS TRUST||X||X||X|
|GEORGE ELIOT HOSPITAL NHS TRUST||X||X||X|
|GLOUCESTERSHIRE HOSPITALS NHS FOUNDATION TRUST||X|
|HULL AND EAST YORKSHIRE HOSPITALS NHS TRUST||X||X|
|JAMES PAGET UNIVERSITY HOSPITALS NHS FOUNDATION TRUST||X||X||X|
|MEDWAY NHS FOUNDATION TRUST||X||X||X|
|CENTRAL CHESHIRE HOSPITALS NHS FOUNDATION TRUST||X|
|NORTH TEES AND HARTLEPOOL NHS FOUNDATION TRUST||X||X||X|
|NORTHAMPTON GENERAL HOSPITAL NHS TRUST||X|
|NORTHERN LINCOLNSHIRE AND HOSPITAL NHS FOUNDATION TRUST||X||X||X||X|
|SCARBOROUGH AND NORTH-EAST YORKSHIRE HEALTHCARE NHS TRUST||X|
|SOUTH TYNESIDE NHS FOUNDATION TRUST||X||X||X||X|
|SOUTHEND UNIVERSITY HOSPITAL NHS FOUNDATION TRUST||X||X|
|SOUTHPORT AND ORMSKIRK HOSPITAL NHS TRUST||X||X|
|TAMESIDE AND GLOSSOP INTEGRATED CARE NHS FOUNDATION TRUST||X|
|TAMESIDE HOSPITAL NHS FOUNDATION TRUST||X||X||X||X|
|THE DUDLEY GROUP NHS FOUNDATION TRUST||X|
|THE PRINCESS ALEXANDRA HOSPITAL NHS TRUST||X|
|THE ROYAL WOLVERHAMPTON NHS TRUST||X||X|
|UNITED KINGDOM LINCOLNSHIRE HOSPITALS NHS TRUST||X||X||X|
|WARRINGTON AND HALTON HOSPITALS NHS FOUNDATION TRUST||X|
|WESTON HEALTH NHS CONFIDENCE||X|
|WORCESTERSHIRE ACUTE GUEST HOUSES NHS TRUST||X||X|
|WRIGHTINGTON, WIGAN AND LEIGH NHS FOUNDATION TRUST||X||X|
|WYE VALLEY NHS TRUST||X||X||X||X||X||X|
|X marks a trust that recorded higher-than-expected deaths in that year|
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