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Donald Trump’s chances of beating Kamala Harris in the 2024 general election have improved in recent days following a series of positive polls, according to a leading election forecaster.
The vice president is still considered the favorite in the latest 538 prediction, but the Republican candidate is closing the gap 41 days before the election.
538, formerly Five-Thirty-Eight, gives Harris a 55-in-100 chance of winning the Electoral College, while Trump has a 45-in-100 chance, up from 39 in September.
The shift comes in the wake of a Quinnipiac poll showing Trump leading Harris by 1 percent nationally and a New York Times/Siena poll putting him ahead in the key Sun Belt states of Arizona, Georgia and North Carolina.
Harris returns to the campaign trail today in Pittsburgh to outline her plan to increase manufacturing across the United States, 24 hours after a similar policy speech by Trump in Savannah.
Follow all the developments in our live blog on American politics
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